Beta Probabilities and Quantiles

The applet below displays the beta density function (alpha = 2, beta = 2) from Figure 4.17. Use the boxes to change alpha and beta to produce the other beta density functions illustrated in that figure.




Example 4.11

The applet below illustrates the solution to Example 4.11. Change x to 0.75 to determine the probability that at least 75% of her stock will be sold in a given week.




Exercise 4.131

This applet illustrates the solution to Exercise 4.131(a). The problem asks for the probability of less than .5, so the answer is 1 minus the probability illustrated in the applet.




Mathematical Details

The probability density function for the beta distribution is defined by

formula for beta probability density function
where

where

The probability corresponding to the tail is one minus the cumulative distribution function for the beta distribution. Explicitly, the area or probability of the tail is given by


where the last term is known as the Incomplete Beta Function. This applet computes these values using numerical methods.