The Teaching Economist

Issue 15, Spring 1998

William A. McEachern, Editor

Table of Contents

The Max for the Minimum 
Experimental Economics 
What AEA Members Do 
High-Tech Etiquette 
Sci-Fi Government
Odds and Ends 
The Grapevine 
The Evidence File

The Max for the Minimum

Last fall 1.6 million students entered college as first-time, full-time freshman. According to survey results of more than 250,000 freshman from 464 institutions, incoming college students are "increasingly disengaged from the academic experience." A record 36.0% say they were frequently "bored in class" during their senior year in high school, up from 29.6% in 1987. A record 34.5% say they missed class or an appointment because they overslept, up from 30.0% in 1987 and nearly double the all-time low of 18.8% in 1968. And only 33.9% in 1997 spent six or more hours a week studying or doing homework during their senior year of high school, down from a record high of 43.7% in 1987 and just above the record low of 33.7% in 1992.

The survey has been conducted each fall since 1966 by UCLA's Higher Education Research Institute. Incoming freshman in the fall of 1997 show the lowest interest in politics and the least commitment to social causes in the history of the survey. Only 26.7% believe "keeping up to date with political affairs" is important, down from 29.4% in 1996 and little more than half the record high of 57.8% set back in 1966 (responses averaged 39.4% during the four Bush years, compared to 30.8% so far during the five Clinton years). And only 19.4% believe "becoming involved in programs to clean up the environment" is important, down from 33.9% in 1990, and less than half the peak of 44.6% in 1972 (the Bush years averaged 31.2%; the Clinton years, 23.1%).

Although incoming freshman appear less engaged and less willing to study, half of those surveyed expect to earn a "B" average in college, compared to a low of 32.7% who expected that average in 1972. And 18.5% expect to graduate with honors, up from a low of only 3.7% who expected as much back in 1968. Finally, a record 39.4% plan to pursue a master's degree and a record 15.3% are planning on a Ph.D.According to Linda J. Sax, the survey director, "These trends suggest that while students' level of involvement in their studies is down, they realize they need to be successful in college in order to remain competitive for graduate school admissions." But, she laments, "Academic credentials rather than a love of learning, seem to be their motivation." (The American Freshman: National Norms for Fall 1997 by L.J. Sax, et al., is available for $26.79 prepaid from the Higher Education Research Institute, UCLA Graduate School of Education & Information Studies, 3005 Moore Hall, Box 951521, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1521.)

Return to Contents of Issue 15, Spring 1998 


Experimental Economics

Experimental economics, after bubbling for years on the periphery of the profession, has gone mainstream The first three articles in the December 1997 American Economic Review are based on laboratory experiments, authored by such household names in the field as the two Charlies-Plott of Cal Tech and Holt of Virginia. Experimental economists now have their own association, the Economic Science Association, and their own journal due out this year, Experimental Economics, edited by Holt of Virginia and Arthur Schram of the University of Amsterdam.

The field is moving beyond research experiments to classroom exercises that can help students learn economics. For example, the Journal of Economic Perspectives now carries a regular feature written by Holt that discusses the use of classroom experiments. The Fall 1997 entry outlines a card game that introduces students to the free-rider problem.

A new workbook, Experiments with Economic Principles (McGraw-Hill, 1997) by Ted Bergstrom and John Miller, provides self-contained material for running experiments in class. The book, which sells for $24 at my bookstore, can be used in conjunction with a regular textbook in microeconomic principles courses and in some intermediate courses. Bergstrom and Miller have a Website that includes reports on experimental results from class (http://zia.hss.cmu.edu/miller/eep/eep.html).

One problem with classroom experiments is that they take time. For most experiments, Bergstrom and Miller recommend taking the entire class period. Keeping a record of results can also be time consuming. Another concern is how to motivate students. Results are more realistic if students have an incentive to do well. One approach is to ask students to contribute voluntarily, say $20, at the beginning of the term to be pooled and paid at the end of the term as a reward based on performance throughout the term. But students who don't contribute are usually cut off from prize money, so they have less motivation. Another possibility is to base the course grade in part on performance in the experiments, but many students feel the results often rely on the luck of the draw and should not therefore affect course grades.

Return to Contents of Issue 15, Spring 1998 


What AEA Members Do

As many of you know, every four years the American Economic Association surveys its members and publishes the results in a supplement to the December American Economic Review (what has come to be known as the AEA Handbook). In the most recent two surveys, 1993 and 1997, members were asked for the first time about their "principal present employer." Academic positions accounted for nearly two-thirds of reported member employment in both years. Specifically, of those responding to the survey, 64.8% held academic positions in 1993 and 65.6% did so in 1997. Universities represented the overwhelming share of academic jobs in 1997 among AEA members - 87.2%, versus 10.0% for four-year colleges and 2.8% for other educational institutions. This distribution was virtually the same as in 1993.

Total AEA membership declined slightly ( - 0.6%) between 1993 and 1997; the number responding to the employment survey dropped more, by 3.9%. I have adjusted the results of the survey in 1997 to account for the decline in response rates. In all, the number reporting an academic employer increased from 11,031 in 1993 to 11,106 in 1997, or 0.7%. Employment at universities increased from 9,546 to 9,679, or 1.4%, but employment at four-year colleges decreased from 1,187 to 1,116, a drop of 6.0%.

Non-academic employment declined from 5,987 to 5,811, a drop of 2.9%. The largest non-academic employer in both 1993 and 1997 was the federal government, where employment fell from 1,484 to 1,337, or by 9.9%. State and local government employment also declined, from 297 to 275, or by 7.4%.

Employment in business and industry decreased from 762 to 655, or 14.0%. Banking and finance slipped from 662 to 643, or 2.9%. And international organizations remained unchanged at 557. The only non-academic categories to increase were non-academic research institutions, which rose from 619 to 659, or 6.5%, and consultants, up from 1,182 to 1,268, or 7.3%. An increase in consultants may, to some extent, reflect a growth in economists who were between permanent jobs.

The bottom line is that the modest growth among members in university jobs was more than offset by losses elsewhere, resulting in an overall decline in employment among AEA members. Job erosion among members was deepest in government and especially in business and industry, where one in seven positions disappeared in the last four years. Of course, the slack employment may reflect only what's been happening to AEA members and not the wider profession, but the corporate job loss does bring to mind the economist from Morgan Stanley quoted in last Spring's Teaching Economist. He said that his firm would not hire an economics Ph.D. without substantial work experience outside academe, arguing "We insist on at least a three-to-four year cleansing experience to neutralize the brainwashing that takes place in these graduate programs."

Return to Contents of Issue 15, Spring 1998 


High-Tech Etiquette

I used to be annoyed on those few occasions when I would show up for class only to find the blackboard filled with writing from the previous lecturer. I have now encountered a new source of aggravation. When I showed up for the first class in a large hi-tech hall, my 300 students were sitting in the dark-the lights were off, the shades drawn, and a huge screen at the front of the room was filled with a computer projection. Before I could even introduce myself to this new class, I had to turn on the lights, open the shades, raise the screen, exit Windows, and turn off the computer. Don't get me wrong, I believe the thoughtful use of multimedia in the classroom can enhance learning; but shouldn't there be some kind of high-tech etiquette about leaving a classroom in usable shape?

I also encountered another annoyance in the same classroom. Class was scheduled to end 10 minutes before the hour. At exactly 10 minutes before the hour, as I was winding up the class, an instructor who apparently would be using the room next entered the hall and announced that I needed to stop because he needed the time to set up for his class. I was stunned. After class, I asked him not to do that again. He couldn't understand my irritation (he teaches Criminology). Even though I always finish on time, he still hovers outside the doorway until my class is over.

Return to Contents of Issue 15, Spring 1998 


Sci-Fi Government

In the Fall 1995 issue of The Teaching Economist, I talked about the economics of science fiction (prior issues are available on the Internet at http://www.swlearning.com/economics/mceachern/economist.html). I noted that government is usually portrayed in science fiction as incompetent or, worse yet, evil. For example, in Orwell's 1984 government is the "big brother" that is watching, and in Terry Gilliam's movie Brazil government creates bureaucratic torpor. Government agents try to dissect poor little E.T., they shoot down Starman (who was only responding to an invitation from Voyager), and in dozens of stories about UFOs, including X-Files (soon to be a movie), they try to suppress information about extraterrestrials.

But there has been a trend in the last couple of years, at least in some science fiction movies, toward a more benign and beneficial government. In Independence Day, the U.S. government, with the help of a brilliant but underemployed computer nerd (who works for a cable-TV company), takes on and defeats the space invaders. In the mostly-for-laughs Men in Black, government agents are depicted as very good at their job, which is to find and exterminate extraterrestrials who turn out to be much more ubiquitous than we common folk suspect. Perhaps the rise of government is best epitomized in The Postman, where the person who saves the day in a post-nuked nation is an accidental mail carrier. The movie is also about the marginal value of information in a non-wired world, a world not even connected by travelers since travel has become too dangerous. But the public didn't buy the postman-as-movie-hero idea, and the movie bombed. I guess Hollywood can scrap plans for The Taxman.

Return to Contents of Issue 15, Spring 1998 


Odds and Ends

  • In the 1993 AEA membership survey, "Teaching of Economics" was listed as a field for the first time, and 204 members identified this as one of their two specialty areas. In the 1997 report, this total increased to 296, for a growth rate of 45.1%. Notable additions since the 1993 survey include Kenneth Elzinga of the University of Virginia, and William Poole of Brown University. Perhaps the most visible economist self-identified as having a specialty in teaching is University of Chicago Professor Robert Fogel, the current president of the American Economics Association. Not bad company.
  • Edward R. Tufte, who teaches courses in statistics and information design at Yale, has written, designed and published three books that will aid any instructor concerned with how best to visually present information. The Visual Display of Quantitative Information (1983) both explains and demonstrates certain rules for presenting numerical data in a graphically engaging manner. This book has become a classic of its genre. Tufte offers examples of design excellence, such as a map conveying the diminished size of Napoleon's Army during the Russian campaign. Such exhibits, says Tufte, show "how multivariate complexity can be subtly integrated into graphical architecture, integrated so gently and unobtrusively that viewers are hardly aware that they are looking into a world of four or five dimensions " (p. 40). The second book in his trilogy, Envisioning Information (1990), presents what he calls pictures of nouns, pictures of representational reality rather than numbers. His third book, Visual Explanations (1997), focuses on displays that illustrate dynamic processes. I attended a one-day workshop he presented last summer in Boston. He was terrific.
  • In the Fall 1997 Teaching Economist, I reviewed Virtual Economics: An Interactive Center for Economic Education, a CD-ROM produced by EconomicsAmerica: the National Council on Economic Education. Michelle Mason Winston of the University of Nebraska, who was the Project Manager, has e-mailed me "your review of Virtual Economics is the best I've read so far (not 'best' in terms of being complimentary, of course)." She wants to make clear that the mission of the CD is to provide teachers "at all precollege grade levels easy access to information on economic concepts and related topics and provide assistance in teaching these concepts." For the latest developments of EconomicsAmerica visit their Web site at http://www.economicsamerica.org/econedlink. That site provides Internet links and resources (CyberTeach) along with case studies (EconomicsMinute). Although the material is aimed at precollege students, you may find some of it useful in principles courses.
  • In the Economics Department at UConn last spring , 49% of grades at the introductory level were A's or B's. University wide, 62% of all grades at the introductory level were A's or B's. In some department, A's alone accounted for well over half the grades in introductory courses. For example, 62% of the grades in introductory Music were A's as were two-thirds of the grades in Sports and Leisure Studies and three-quarters of those in Allied Health. Too bad economics can't attract such bright students.
  • "Ignorance is not innocence but sin..." - Robert Browning
  • "Life is not an exact science, it is an art." - Samuel Butler
  • "There is no expedient to which man will not resort to avoid the real labor of thinking." - Sir Joshua Reynolds
  •  

    Return to Contents of Issue 15 


    The Grapevine

    Bill Marker of Lewis University in Romeoville, Illinois has found an effective way to underscore one misleading aspect of unemployment statistics. He begins class on the day that topic is to be covered by saying that 10 of 40 students are doing substandard work, yielding a "poor performance ratio" of 10/40, or 25%, and a "success rate" of 75%. He explains to students that, to lower the poor performance ratio, he is going to advise those below average to drop the course. He tells them that if he can convince just five of the 10 underperformers to drop out, the poor-performance ratio will fall to 5/35, or to 14%, and the success rate will move up to 86%. Student gaze on him with disbelief and contempt. After he has their attention in this way, he goes on to explain that one measure of the economy's performance, the unemployment rate, uses a similar statistic in that discouraged workers are not counted in the labor force. His approach works best, he says, if students believe he is serious. Of course, after their initial shock, he quickly explains he was just role playing. I would add that this sort of self-selection goes on in most courses. Certainly, students who drop the course tend to be those below average, thereby pumping up the average course performance. I once taught at a university where students, without much administrative difficulty, could drop a course right up until the final exam. As a result of students' rational expectations, there were fewer poor grades at the end of the term and virtually no failing grades. Instead of pass/fail, it was pass/drop.
    David R. Henderson of the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey California says that he likes the fact that his students are reliable and, more important, very curious. At the beginning of each class, he sets a timer for five minutes during which anybody can ask any question about economics. It could be based on something they read, heard, witnessed, or just wondered about. If the answer relies on material students are expected to know, he draws students out. Professor Henderson says this question time has been tremendously successful and gets raves on student evaluations.
    When Mark Chandler of Vilnius University in Lithuania teaches public choice, he uses the Vietnam war as an example of non-single peaked preferences. He believes the cycling theory explains U.S. policy during the conflict. Lately he has added the conflict in Northern Ireland as an example. Among the British, the two most preferred positions are (1) the military should aggressively crack down on the IRA and (2) the military should pull out and go home. He says the least preferred alternative is a quasi-police action with low levels of death on all sides but high levels of aggravation. This mix yields a classic multiple-peaked situation, which leads to cycling.
    Eric K. Steger of East Central University in Ada, Oklahoma finds deregulation of natural gas and electricity to be a gold mine in discussing natural monopoly. He also relies on our experience with telephone deregulation to discuss some potential costs of having to choose among many suppliers. For example, the intense efforts that long-distance telephone service providers exert to get customers will likely be duplicated by suppliers of electricity and natural gas. Consumers may become confused by competing offers when choosing a supplier.
     

    Return to Contents of Issue 15 


    The Evidence File

  • In a nationwide survey by Phoenix Home Life Insurance of 1,200 students ages 12 to 21 from households earning $40,000 or more, 90% said they believed they are adequately educated about finances. Yet only 40% could define the term "budget" and only 34% could explain what "buying on credit" means. Among college students questioned, 41% could define mortgage, 12% life insurance, 5% mutual funds, and only 6% Social Security. Half said they expect to earn at least $30,000 in their first year after graduation. One in five expects to earn $40,000.
  • When I go grocery shopping, I pay attention to the price spread between name brands and house brands. This comparison is made all the easier because house-brand packaging typically apes the leading name brand. Sometimes the spread is a chasm. Exhibit A is a 12 ounce box of vanilla wafers. My local supermarket charges $1.39 for its house brand, in this case IGA. The same store charges $3.29 for the Nabisco brand, or 137% more than its house brand. You could discuss with students why many consumers are willing to pay more, sometimes much more, for name brands.
  • The AEA membership survey also gives us some idea of the racial composition of those who are U.S. citizens. Although total membership declined 0.6% between 1993 and 1997, those responding to questions about race and Hispanic heritage declined by 10.1%. I have adjusted the data for the declining response rate.
  • In 1993, 145 (1.2%) U.S. citizen respondents were African Americans-117 men and 28 women. By 1997, this group made up 164 respondents (1.4%)-134 men and 30 women. Since African Americans accounted for 12.7% of the U.S. population in 1997, their share of AEA membership was only about one-ninth their share of the U.S. population.
    Asians grew from 447 (3.8%) of those U.S. citizens responding in 1993, to 459 (3.9%) in 1997. Since Asians accounted for 3.8% of the U.S. population in 1997, their AEA membership is in line with their representation in the wider population.
    Those members who identified themselves as of Hispanic heritage (which is an ethnic, not a racial, classification) totaled 898 (7.6%) responding U.S. citizens in 1993. By 1997, this group totaled 959 (8.1%). Since those of Hispanic heritage accounted for 10.7% of the entire U.S. population in 1997, their share of AEA membership was three-quarters of their share of the wider population.Respondents identifying themselves as female rose slightly from 1,752 (14.8%) AEA members in 1993 to 1,795 (15.2%) in 1997. Since females represented 51.2% of the U.S. population in 1997, their share of AEA memberships is less than one-third their makeup of the wider population. The most underrepresented group is African American females, who accounted for 6.7% of the U.S. population in 1997, but just 0.25% of AEA members. Put another way, African American women account for 1 out of 15 Americans but only 1 out of 400 American members of the AEA. If African American women were represented in proportion to their presence in the U.S. population, there would be 800 such AEA members in 1997 instead of 30.
     
    Return to Contents of Issue 15, Spring 1998 

     
     
    Copyright © 1998 South-Western . All Rights Reserved.
    webmaster